2024 NFL Power Rankings – Week 12

1. Detroit Lions (9-1): The Lions are currently the best team in the NFL and continue to show it each week, this time with an easy 52-6 win over the Jaguars. The Lions lead the NFL in average margin of victory at 15.9 points per game and in point differential (+159). Next: -7.5 at Indianapolis Colts – Sun, Nov. 24, 10:00 AM PT – O/U: 50.5 (ATS: 8-2 – O/U: 5-5) Win probability: 80.7%

2. Buffalo Bills (9-2): A big fourth down 26-yard touchdown run from quarterback Josh Allen clinched a 30-21 win over the Chiefs, handing them their first loss of the season. Allen has cut down on his mistakes this season and that has helped put the Bills in a good position for the playoffs. The Bills lead the NFL with a +14 turnover ratio. Next: Bye - Following week: N/A vs San Francisco 49ers - Sun, Dec. 1, 5:20 PM PT – O/U: N/A (ATS: 7-4 – O/U: 7-4) Win probability: N/A%

3. Kansas City Chiefs (9-1): The Chiefs luck finally ran out in Buffalo, losing to the Bills, 30-21. The Chiefs should have lost at least three games this season, but they kept finding ways to steal wins, until the met the Bills and Josh Allen. Next: -11 at Carolina Panthers - Sun, Nov. 24, 10:00 AM PT – O/U: 43 (ATS: 5-5 – O/U: 5-5) Win probability: 89.7%

4. Minnesota Vikings (8-2): Quarterback Sam Darnold threw for 246 yards and two touchdowns and ran for a score, leading the Vikings to a 23-13 win on Sunday. Darnold has a one-year, $10 million dollar contract with the Vikings. Regardless of where he lands next season, he will be a richer man for his performance this season. Next: -3.5 at Chicago Bears – Sun, Nov. 24, 10:00 AM PT – O/U: 39 (ATS: 7-3 – O/U: 3-7) Win probability: 72.4%

5. Pittsburgh Steelers (8-2): The Steelers held on to defeat the Ravens, 18-16. The Steelers are on the verge of running away with the AFC North Division. They are up two games in the loss column over the Ravens, the Steelers are 1-0 in the division and 5-1 in the conference. The Ravens are 2-2 in the division and 4-4 in the conference. The Steelers have the tie-breaking advantages. Next: -3.5 at Cleveland Browns – Thu, Nov. 21, 5:15 PM PT – O/U: 37 (ATS: 8-2 – O/U: 5-5) Win probability: 65.3 %

6. Philadelphia Eagles (8-2): The Eagles won their sixth consecutive game, beating the Commanders, 26-18. The offseason acquisition of running back Saquon Barkley has been huge. Barkley leads the NFL in rushing yards per game at 113.7 and is a valuable asset as a receiver. But the Giants didn't need him or want him. Go figure. Next: -2.5 at Los Angeles Rams – Sun, Nov. 24, 5:20 PM PT – O/U: 49 (ATS: 5-4 – O/U: 4-6) Win probability: 63%

7. Los Angeles Chargers (7-3): The Chargers won their fourth straight game, knocking off the Bengals in a wild finish, 34-27. Rookie wide receiver Ladd McConkey leads the Chargers with 43 receptions and in receiving yards with 615. He has become the best wide receiver on the Chargers in his rookie season. Next: +2.5 vs Baltimore Ravens - Mon, Nov. 25, 5:15 PM PT – O/U: 51 (ATS: 7-3 – O/U: 3-7) Win probability: 38.7%

8. Baltimore Ravens (7-4): The Ravens lost to the Steelers, 18-16 in a game they needed to win and should have won. Three turnovers, 12 penalties, and a refusal to give more carries to Derrick Henry cost the Ravens this game. Next: -2.5 at Los Angeles Chargers – Mon, Nov. 25, 5:15 PM PT – O/U 51 (ATS: 5-5-1 – O/U: 9-2) Win probability: 61.3%

9. Green Bay Packers (7-3): The Packers needed a block of a 46-yard field goal attempt to beat the Bears in Chicago, 20-19. Quarterback Jordan Love has thrown 11 interceptions in the 8 games he has played in this season. He needs to improve in that area to give the Packers a chance in the postseason. Next: -1.5 vs San Francisco 49ers - Sun, Nov. 24, 1:25 PM PT – O/U: 47.5 (ATS: 4-6 – O/U: 4-5-1) Win probability: 54.1%

10. Washington Commanders (7-4): The Commanders have now lost two in a row after falling to the Eagles, 26-18. Their hopes of winning the NFC East division may be slipping away. Rookie quarterback Jayden Daniels has struggled recently as NFL defenses probe for ways to slow him down. Next: -10.5 vs Dallas Cowboys – Sun, Nov. 24, 10:00 AM PT – O/U: 45.5 (ATS: 7-3-1 – O/U: 7-4) Win probability: 80.6%

11. Houston Texans (7-4): The Texans easily defeated the Cowboys, 34-10 in Monday Night Football. Running back Joe Mixon rushed for 109 yards and three touchdowns to lead the Texans. The Texans have flaws, but the AFC South gives them an easier shot at winning the Division and getting a home playoff game. Next: -8 vs Tennessee Titans – Sun, Nov. 24, 10:00 AM PT – O/U 40.5 (ATS: 5-5-1 – O/U: 3-8) Win probability: 80.4%

12. Arizona Cardinals (6-4): The Cardinals are coming off their Bye Week in Week 11. The next three weeks will help determine the playoff hopes of the Cardinals this season, with games at Seattle, at Minnesota, and back at home against Seattle. Next: +1 at Seattle Seahawks - Sun, Nov. 24, 1:25 PM PT – O/U: 47.5 (ATS: 7-3 – O/U: 4-5-1) Win probability: 50.9%

13. Denver Broncos (6-5): The Broncos crushed the Falcons 38-6 in Denver. Rookie quarterback Bo Nix was named the AFC Offensive Player of the Week for Week 11. Nix completed 28 of 33 passes for 307 yards and four touchdowns in an impressive showing. Next: -6 at Las Vegas Raiders - Sun, Nov. 24, 1:05 PM PT – O/U: 41 (ATS: 8-3 – O/U: 6-5) Win probability: 71.2%

14. Los Angeles Rams (5-5): Quarterback Matthew Stafford looked good on Sunday, throwing for four touchdowns in a 28-22 win over the Pats. Wide receiver Cooper Kupp caught 6 passes for 106 yards and two touchdowns, while the Rams other star receiver had 7 receptions for 123 yards and a terrific diving touchdown reception. That was an offensive performance that had to be very encouraging to Rams fans. Next: +2.5 vs Philadelphia Eagles – Sun, Nov. 24, 5:20 PM PT – O/U: 49 (ATS: 4-6 – O/U: 5-5) Win probability: 37%

15. Seattle Seahawks (5-5): The struggling Seahawks shocked the 49ers on the road, pulling out a 20-17 win over the 49ers to stay within a game of the division leading Cardinals. Wide receiver Jaxon Smith-Njigba had 10 receptions for 110 yards in leading the Seahawks to the victory. Next: -1 vs Arizona Cardinals - Sun, Nov. 24, 1:25 PM PT – O/U: 47.5 (ATS: 3-6-1 - O/U: 5-5) Win probability: 49.1%

16. San Francisco 49ers (5-5): The 49ers were stunned at home by the Seahawks, 20-17. Seahawk QB ran 13 yards for the winning touchdown with just 12 seconds left in the game. The 49ers were without injured tight end George Kittle. Quarterback Brock Purdy threw for just 159 yards and never threw the ball 20 yards or further down the field. Next: +1.5 at Green Bay Packers – Sun, Nov. 24, 1:25 PM PT – O/U: 47.5 (ATS: 4-6 – O/U: 5-5) Win probability: 45.9%

17. Atlanta Falcons (6-5): The Falcons got blown out by the Broncos in Denver, 38-6. The Falcons gave up 400 yards in offense and 22 first downs to the Broncos, while failing to score an offensive touchdown. A very disturbing performance for the Falcons, who must have been bothered by the elevation in Denver. Next: Bye – Following week: N/A vs Los Angeles Chargers – Sun, Dec. 1, 10:00 AM PT – O/U: N/A (ATS: 5-6 – O/U: 4-7) Win probability: N/A%

18. Tampa Bay Buccaneers (4-6): The Buccaneers are coming off their Bye Week in Week 11, with the hope that they can get healthy. Head Coach Todd Bowles elected to give the players six days off in the hopes that it improves the team's overall roster health. Next: -6 at New York Giants – Sun, Nov. 24, 10:00 AM PT – O/U: 41 (ATS: 6-4 – O/U: 7-3) Win probability: 66.5%

19. Indianapolis Colts (5-6): The Colts broke their three-game losing streak, beating the Jets 28-27. The Colts are two games behind the Texans in the race for the AFC South, but because they lost both head-to-head games with the Texans, they are really three games behind the Texans. Next: +7.5 vs Detroit Lions – Sun, Nov. 24, 10:00 AM PT – O/U: 50.5 (ATS: 8-3 – O/U: 5-6) Win probability: 19.3%

20. Miami Dolphins (4-6): Quarterback Tua Tagovailoa has the Dolphins playing good offensive football again. On Sunday, Tagovailoa completing 28 of 36 passes for 288 yards and three touchdowns in a 34-19 win over the Raiders. Next: -7.5 vs New England Patriots - Sun, Nov. 24, 10:00 AM PT – O/U: 46 (ATS: 4-6 – O/U: 4-6) Win probability: 82.9%

21. Cincinnati Bengals (4-7): The Bengals continue to be one of the most entertaining teams in the NFL and put on a show for the fans on Sunday Night, but still lost to the Chargers, 34-27. Quarterback Joe Burrow is the first QB in NFL history to lose three games in a season while throwing for 300 yards, three touchdowns, and no interceptions in each game. Next: Bye – Following week: N/A vs Pittsburgh Steelers – Sun, Dec. 1, 10:00 AM PT – O/U: N/A (ATS: 6-5 – O/U: 8-3) Win probability: N/A%

22. Chicago Bears (4-6): The Bears lost to the Packers when their 46-yard field goal attempt was blocked with no time on the clock. The Bears got a good game from rookie quarterback Caleb Williams, who passed for 231 yards and rushed for 70 yards, but still found a way to lose a game they probably should have won. Next: +3.5 vs Minnesota Vikings - Sun, Nov. 24, 10:00 AM PT – O/U: 39 (ATS: 5-4-1 – O/U: 3-7) Win probability: 27.6%

23. New England Patriots (3-8): The Patriots hung tough with the Rams before losing, 28-22. Rams head coach Sean McVay praised rookie quarterback Drake Maye, stating that, "He looks like a stud." Maye threw for 282 yards and two touchdowns in the loss. Next: +7.5 at Miami Dolphins – Sun, Nov. 24, 10:00 AM PT – O/U: 46 (ATS: 4-6-1 – O/U: 6-5) Win probability: 17.1%

24. Carolina Panthers (3-7): The Panthers are coming off their Bye Week in Week 11. They also have a two-game winning streak, meaning the Panther fans have not seen their team lose in three weeks, which is strange new territory for them. Next: +11 vs Kansas City Chiefs – Sun, Nov. 24, 10:00 AM PT – O/U: 43 (ATS: 3-7 – O/U: 7-3) Win probability: 10.3%

25. New Orleans Saints (4-7): The Saints have a two-game winning streak after a 35-14 beating of the Browns. Tight end Taysom Hill, who also plays quarterback, rushed 7 times for 138 yards and three touchdowns in the victory. Next: Bye – Following week: N/A vs Los Angeles Rams – Sun, Dec. 1, 1:05 PM PT – O/U: N/A (ATS: 5-6 – O/U: 7-4) Win probability: N/A%

26. Tennessee Titans (2-8): The Titans were beaten by the Vikings on Sunday, 23-13 in Nashville. Pro Football Focus (PFF) has the Titans offensive line rated the 30th best in the NFL this season, which is a slight improvement over the PFF ranking in 2023, where they had the Titans offensive line 32nd or last in the NFL. Next: +8 at Houston Texans – Sun, Nov. 24, 10:00 AM PT – O/U: 40.5 (ATS: 1-9 – O/U: 5-4-1) Win probability: 19.6%

27. New York Jets (3-8): The Jets lost 28-27 to the Colts at home and now enter their Bye Week, which means that heads will roll for a team with high expectations and currently mired with a 3-8 record. On Tuesday morning, multiple media outlets were confirming that GM Joe Douglas had been fired. Next: Bye – Following week: N/A vs Seattle Seahawks - Sun, Dec. 1, 10:00 AM PT – O/U: N/A (ATS: 3-8 – O/U: 5-5-1) Win probability: N/A%

28. Dallas Cowboys (3-7): The Cowboys, as usual, got blown out at home in a loss to the Texans, 34-10. The loss was their sixth consecutive loss at home by 20 + points. The Cowboys are tied with the Raiders in giveaways at 20, which is an indication as to how bad this team is. Next: +10.5 at Washington Commanders - Sun, Nov. 24, 10:00 AM PT – O/U: 45.5 (ATS: 2-8 – O/U: 6-4) Win probability: 19.4%

29. New York Giants (2-8): The Giants are coming off their Bye Week in Week 11, but they are making a key change in their lineup. Starting quarterback Daniel Jones is being benched and No. 3 quarterback, Tommy DeVito, will become the starter. Jones will become the No. 3 QB, while Drew Lock will remain the backup to the starter. The Giants are saying goodbye to Jones and want nothing to do with his injury clause that would guarantee Jones $23 million in 2025. Next: +6 vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers – Sun, Nov. 24, 10:00 AM PT – O/U: 41 (ATS: 3-7 – O/U: 3-7) Win probability: 33.5%

30. Jacksonville Jaguars (2-9): The Jags lost 52-6 to the Lions. Starting quarterback Trevor Lawrence missed the game. In 2020, the Jags were tanking for Trevor, and it worked. It is time to start tanking for Travis, also known as wide receiver/cornerback Travis Hunter of the Colorado Buffaloes. Hunter is the current favorite to win the Heisman Trophy in 2024 and he may be the best player in college football. Next: Bye – Following week: N/A vs Houston Texans - Sun, Dec. 1, 10:00 AM PT – O/U: N/A (ATS: 6-5 – O/U: 7-4) Win probability: N/A%

31. Las Vegas Raiders (2-8): The hapless Raiders lost once again, this time to the Dolphins, 34-19. Rookie tight end Brock Bowers continues to excel, catching 13 passes for 125 yards and a touchdown. Bowers has 70 receptions, which is second in the NFL, and he is on a pace to set Puka Nacua's rookie record of 105 receptions set last season with the Rams. Next: +6 vs Denver Broncos - Sun, Nov. 24, 1:05 PM PT – O/U: 41 (ATS: 4-6 – O/U: 7-3) Win probability: 28.8%

32. Cleveland Browns (2-8): The Browns need a bye week, but they have already used that up for the season. The Browns lost to the Saints, 35-14, with quarterback Jameis Winston throwing for 395 yards and two touchdowns, and wide receiver Jerry Jeudy catching six passes for 142 yards, including an 89-yard touchdown pass. The passing game has improved since starting QB Deshaun Watson was knocked out for the season. Next: +3.5 vs Pittsburgh Steelers – Thu, Nov. 21, 5:15 PM PT – O/U: 37 (ATS: 3-7 – O/U: 4-6) Win probability: 34.7%